Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.189645 0.226299 0.267484 0.317091 0.375122 0.440757 0.520512
2025-03-16 0.129303 0.174169 0.230331 0.305394 0.402645 0.523888 0.685937
2025-03-23 0.102796 0.151514 0.217545 0.312734 0.445423 0.622638 0.875795
2025-03-30 0.084884 0.134917 0.207369 0.318525 0.482987 0.715172 1.064969
2025-04-06 0.069668 0.118502 0.193523 0.315144 0.504751 0.785675 1.228787
2025-04-13 0.058278 0.105469 0.181968 0.312310 0.525247 0.854557 1.395468
2025-04-20 0.051744 0.099005 0.179383 0.322510 0.566164 0.957375 1.623003
2025-04-27 0.049485 0.099432 0.188018 0.351926 0.641066 1.120501 1.961177
2025-05-04 0.045066 0.095062 0.187495 0.365091 0.689469 1.244444 2.246368
2025-05-11 0.038864 0.086149 0.177331 0.359321 0.703540 1.311167 2.440414
2025-05-18 0.032662 0.076096 0.163453 0.344527 0.699028 1.344328 2.578081
2025-05-25 0.027304 0.066820 0.149655 0.327822 0.688528 1.364933 2.693976
2025-06-01 0.025109 0.064288 0.149587 0.339329 0.735304 1.497992 3.033758
2025-06-08 0.021190 0.057072 0.138563 0.326728 0.732787 1.538240 3.204217
2025-06-15 0.019351 0.054473 0.137217 0.334531 0.772760 1.664159 3.550521
2025-06-22 0.017623 0.051809 0.135287 0.340694 0.809791 1.787409 3.902183
2025-06-29 0.015534 0.047773 0.129470 0.337095 0.824993 1.867279 4.172896
2025-07-06 0.013755 0.044211 0.124234 0.334079 0.840984 1.949973 4.456280
2025-07-13 0.012859 0.042980 0.124689 0.344936 0.889959 2.107346 4.910327
2025-07-20 0.012930 0.044631 0.132901 0.376239 0.990329 2.385247 5.645679
2025-07-27 0.012231 0.043791 0.134308 0.390244 1.050535 2.578944 6.212030
2025-08-03 0.010839 0.040465 0.128352 0.384107 1.060589 2.660103 6.534810
2025-08-10 0.009298 0.036299 0.119317 0.368367 1.044636 2.679677 6.719576